Extreme events: dynamics, statistics and prediction


Ghil, Michael, P. Yiou, S. Hallegatte, B. D. Malamud, P. Naveau, A. Soloviev, P. Friederichs, et al. 2011. “Extreme events: dynamics, statistics and prediction.” Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 18 (3): 295–350.


We review work on extreme events, their causes and consequences, by a group of Euro- pean and American researchers involved in a three-year project on these topics. The review covers theoretical aspects of time series analysis and of extreme value theory, as well as of the deteministic modeling of extreme events, via continuous and discrete dynamic models. The applications include climatic, seismic and socio-economic events, along with their prediction.

Last updated on 08/09/2016